Be the Powertag:bethepower.com,2007-08-04://12008-11-01T04:58:13ZDon't fight the power. Be the power.Movable Type 4.0rc2-enMy Electoral Predictiontag:bethepower.com,2008://1.10252008-11-01T04:58:13Z2008-11-01T04:58:13Z Caveat: This is just my best guess of things will go, but it don’t mean squat if we don’t get out there and earn it. I’ll be canvassing this weekend. Will you? I’ve entered my electoral pool with the...Toddhttp://www.bethepower.com/
<p><object classid="clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000" codebase="http://fpdownload.macromedia.com/pub/shockwave/cabs/flash/swflash.cab#version=9,0,0,0" width="420" height="350" align="middle" id="usermap"/><param name="allowScriptAccess" value="always" /><param name="movie" value="http://www.latimes.com/includes/electoralmap/usermap.swf" /><param name="quality" value="high" /><param name="bgcolor" value="#ffffff" /><param name="FlashVars" value="usergen=110110010111111011111110111110110011001001001000110" /><embed src="http://www.latimes.com/includes/electoralmap/usermap.swf" width="420" height="350" quality="high" bgcolor="#ffffff" FlashVars="usergen=110110010111111011111110111110110011001001001000110" name="usermap" align="middle" allowScriptAccess="always" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" pluginspage="http://www.macromedia.com/go/getflashplayer"></embed></object></p></p>
<p><em>Caveat: This is just my best guess of things will go, but it don’t mean squat if we don’t get out there and earn it. I’ll be canvassing this weekend. Will you?</em></p>
<p>I’ve entered my electoral pool with the map above. Obviously, this is terrifically pro-Obama, but I don’t think it’s at all insane. Here’s why:</p>
<ul>
<li><p>Everything I’ve read and heard about indicates that the black vote will be humungous this year. So much so that it swings southern states like <strong>Florida</strong>, <strong>Georgia</strong>, and <strong>North Carolina</strong>. I think the ad buy in Georgia helps too.</p></li>
<li><p>The black vote helps in <strong>Missouri</strong> too. Plus, I just really like the work we did for Claire McCaskill in 2006, and I think we can continue it this year.</p></li>
<li><p>We’re not going to lose <strong>Pennsylvania</strong>. We’re just not.</p></li>
<li><p>The Obama campaign is putting <em>some</em> resources in <strong>North Dakota</strong>, which I think will be enough to tip a state that usually sees no attention. Election Day Voter Registration (EDVR) helps too. Anyone the field program ID’s, they can get to the polls to register and vote all at once.</p></li>
<li><p>The most foolish pick on the map is probably <strong>Indiana</strong>. We might not have enough this year, but I want to turn the Midwest blue.</p></li>
<li><p>We fall just short in <strong>Montana</strong> and <strong>Arizona</strong>. Obama wins these states in 2012.</p></li>
<li><p>For a tiebreaker, I say we get to exactly <strong>60 Senate seats</strong>. Again, the black vote in <strong>Georgia</strong> is the story of the night.</p></li>
</ul>
<p>To be clear, this has the potential to be an absolutely phenomenal story about African-American participation in this election. A gigantic surge of this vote is very, very good news for Democrats.</p>
<p>
<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/bethepower/~4/438779760" height="1" width="1"/>http://bethepower.com/archives/2008/11/my_electoral_pr.htmllinks for 2008-10-31tag:bethepower.com,2008://1.10242008-11-01T04:30:10Z2008-11-01T04:30:10ZToddhttp://www.bethepower.com/
<ul class="delicious"><li>
<div class="delicious-link"><a href="http://swingstateproject.com/showDiary.do?diaryId=3641">Swing State Project:: Nov. 4, 2008 Poll Closing Times & Key Races</a></div>
<div class="delicious-extended">Poll closing times for Tuesday.</div>
<div class="delicious-tags">(tags: <a href="http://delicious.com/tplants/politics">politics</a>)</div>
</li></ul>
<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/bethepower/~4/438739377" height="1" width="1"/>http://bethepower.com/archives/2008/11/links_for_20081_9.htmllinks for 2008-10-30tag:bethepower.com,2008://1.10232008-10-30T18:23:53Z2008-10-30T18:23:53Z Thanks, Charles I'm doing it for Charles. (tags: politics video) ...Toddhttp://www.bethepower.com/
<ul class="delicious"><li>
<div class="delicious-link"><a href="http://firedoglake.com/2008/10/29/thanks-charles/">Thanks, Charles</a></div>
<div class="delicious-extended">I'm doing it for Charles.</div>
<div class="delicious-tags">(tags: <a href="http://delicious.com/tplants/politics">politics</a> <a href="http://delicious.com/tplants/video">video</a>)</div>
</li></ul>
<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/bethepower/~4/437200684" height="1" width="1"/>http://bethepower.com/archives/2008/10/links_for_20081_8.htmllinks for 2008-10-24tag:bethepower.com,2008://1.10222008-10-25T06:05:02Z2008-10-25T06:05:02ZToddhttp://www.bethepower.com/
<ul class="delicious"><li>
<div class="delicious-link"><a href="http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/1008/Early_voting_in_Evansville.html?showall">Ben Smith's Blog: Early voting in Evansville - Politico.com</a></div>
<div class="delicious-extended">This is great. Totally inspiring. Reminds me of Ethel L., 81-year-old Floridian, who, when in 2002 asked why she had never registered to vote replied, "No one ever asked before." I like to think she's still alive. If so, I am certain she will vote this year.</div>
<div class="delicious-tags">(tags: <a href="http://delicious.com/tplants/politics">politics</a>)</div>
</li><li>
<div class="delicious-link"><a href="http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2008/oct/24/kennedy-secretly-crafts-health-care-plan/">Washington Times - Kennedy secretly crafts health care plan</a></div>
<div class="delicious-extended">I will do whatever he can to help Ted Kennedy achieve universal health care.</div>
<div class="delicious-tags">(tags: <a href="http://delicious.com/tplants/politics">politics</a>)</div>
</li></ul>
<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/bethepower/~4/431437110" height="1" width="1"/>http://bethepower.com/archives/2008/10/links_for_20081_7.htmllinks for 2008-10-20tag:bethepower.com,2008://1.10212008-10-21T04:30:14Z2008-10-21T04:30:14Z Peter Sagal - Blog » Blog Archive » Conspiracy Theorizing I've been talking about this idea all week. (tags: politics) ...Toddhttp://www.bethepower.com/
<ul class="delicious"><li>
<div class="delicious-link"><a href="http://petersagal.com/wordpress/?p=161/">Peter Sagal - Blog » Blog Archive » Conspiracy Theorizing</a></div>
<div class="delicious-extended">I've been talking about this idea all week.</div>
<div class="delicious-tags">(tags: <a href="http://delicious.com/tplants/politics">politics</a>)</div>
</li></ul>
<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/bethepower/~4/427125910" height="1" width="1"/>http://bethepower.com/archives/2008/10/links_for_20081_6.htmllinks for 2008-10-17tag:bethepower.com,2008://1.10202008-10-18T04:30:11Z2008-10-18T04:30:11ZToddhttp://www.bethepower.com/
<ul class="delicious"><li>
<div class="delicious-link"><a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h12mEegemI0&eurl=http://themarathonblog.com/2008/10/16/powerful/">YouTube - TV ad: "Humbled"</a></div>
<div class="delicious-extended">Let's never forget that all this politics stuff matters, k?</div>
<div class="delicious-tags">(tags: <a href="http://delicious.com/tplants/politics">politics</a> <a href="http://delicious.com/tplants/video">video</a>)</div>
</li></ul>
<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/bethepower/~4/424308466" height="1" width="1"/>http://bethepower.com/archives/2008/10/links_for_20081_5.htmllinks for 2008-10-10tag:bethepower.com,2008://1.10192008-10-11T04:30:09Z2008-10-11T04:30:09Z LiveLeak.com - My Dogs greeting me after returning from 14 months in Iraq, pre arranged These dogs are the happiest things alive. I love it. (tags: dogs cool) ...Toddhttp://www.bethepower.com/
<ul class="delicious"><li>
<div class="delicious-link"><a href="http://www.liveleak.com/view?i=147_1223108811">LiveLeak.com - My Dogs greeting me after returning from 14 months in Iraq, pre arranged</a></div>
<div class="delicious-extended">These dogs are the happiest things alive. I love it.</div>
<div class="delicious-tags">(tags: <a href="http://delicious.com/tplants/dogs">dogs</a> <a href="http://delicious.com/tplants/cool">cool</a>)</div>
</li></ul>
<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/bethepower/~4/417479092" height="1" width="1"/>http://bethepower.com/archives/2008/10/links_for_20081_4.htmllinks for 2008-10-08tag:bethepower.com,2008://1.10182008-10-09T04:30:07Z2008-10-09T04:30:07Z Obama Flips Script, Uses McCain Catch-Phrase Against Him Wow. Look at how high Obama's dial poll numbers go during his Iraq answer from last night. (tags: politics) ...Toddhttp://www.bethepower.com/
<ul class="delicious"><li>
<div class="delicious-link"><a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/10/07/obama-flips-script-uses-m_n_132825.html">Obama Flips Script, Uses McCain Catch-Phrase Against Him</a></div>
<div class="delicious-extended">Wow. Look at how high Obama's dial poll numbers go during his Iraq answer from last night.</div>
<div class="delicious-tags">(tags: <a href="http://delicious.com/tplants/politics">politics</a>)</div>
</li></ul>
<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/bethepower/~4/415457873" height="1" width="1"/>http://bethepower.com/archives/2008/10/links_for_20081_3.htmllinks for 2008-10-05tag:bethepower.com,2008://1.10172008-10-06T04:30:11Z2008-10-06T04:30:11Z Politics at the Five-and-Dime - washingtonpost.com I'm fighting for Pam Fleck. (tags: politics Michigan) Dems could hit 60 Senate seats - Jim VandeHei and Mike Allen - Politico.com I know I'm doing everything I can. (tags: politics) ...Toddhttp://www.bethepower.com/
<ul class="delicious"><li>
<div class="delicious-link"><a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/10/04/AR2008100402333.html">Politics at the Five-and-Dime - washingtonpost.com</a></div>
<div class="delicious-extended">I'm fighting for Pam Fleck.</div>
<div class="delicious-tags">(tags: <a href="http://delicious.com/tplants/politics">politics</a> <a href="http://delicious.com/tplants/Michigan">Michigan</a>)</div>
</li><li>
<div class="delicious-link"><a href="http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1008/14280.html">Dems could hit 60 Senate seats - Jim VandeHei and Mike Allen - Politico.com</a></div>
<div class="delicious-extended">I know I'm doing everything I can.</div>
<div class="delicious-tags">(tags: <a href="http://delicious.com/tplants/politics">politics</a>)</div>
</li></ul>
<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/bethepower/~4/412466927" height="1" width="1"/>http://bethepower.com/archives/2008/10/links_for_20081_2.htmllinks for 2008-10-03tag:bethepower.com,2008://1.10162008-10-03T12:07:43Z2008-10-03T12:07:43ZToddhttp://www.bethepower.com/
<ul class="delicious"><li>
<div class="delicious-link"><a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GP2JSgSkq8k">YouTube - Vice Presidential Debate: "Maverick He Is Not"</a></div>
<div class="delicious-extended">One of the highlights.</div>
<div class="delicious-tags">(tags: <a href="http://delicious.com/tplants/politics">politics</a>)</div>
</li><li>
<div class="delicious-link"><a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZKCtgaWYTwI">YouTube - Late Show - George W. Bush: How'd He Do?</a></div>
<div class="delicious-extended">Best campaign ad this cycle.</div>
<div class="delicious-tags">(tags: <a href="http://delicious.com/tplants/politics">politics</a> <a href="http://delicious.com/tplants/funny">funny</a> <a href="http://delicious.com/tplants/video">video</a>)</div>
</li></ul>
<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/bethepower/~4/410213938" height="1" width="1"/>http://bethepower.com/archives/2008/10/links_for_20081_1.htmllinks for 2008-10-01tag:bethepower.com,2008://1.10152008-10-02T04:30:12Z2008-10-02T04:30:12Z 36 Hours of Alarm and Action as Crisis Spiraled - NYTimes.com FInally, a tick-tock of the financial crisis. To some extent it seems like the market tanked because people irrationally thought investment bank stocks would tank, becoming a self-fulfilling...Toddhttp://www.bethepower.com/
<ul class="delicious"><li>
<div class="delicious-link"><a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/02/business/02crisis.html?hp=&pagewanted=all">36 Hours of Alarm and Action as Crisis Spiraled - NYTimes.com</a></div>
<div class="delicious-extended">FInally, a tick-tock of the financial crisis. To some extent it seems like the market tanked because people irrationally thought investment bank stocks would tank, becoming a self-fulfilling prophecy.</div>
<div class="delicious-tags">(tags: <a href="http://delicious.com/tplants/politics">politics</a> <a href="http://delicious.com/tplants/money">money</a>)</div>
</li><li>
<div class="delicious-link"><a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UtUlevdsndM">YouTube - 3 Minute 24:Redemption Trailer</a></div>
<div class="delicious-extended">Jack Bauer saves Darfur. Basically.</div>
<div class="delicious-tags">(tags: <a href="http://delicious.com/tplants/TV">TV</a>)</div>
</li></ul>
<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/bethepower/~4/408915122" height="1" width="1"/>http://bethepower.com/archives/2008/10/links_for_20081.htmllinks for 2008-09-30tag:bethepower.com,2008://1.10142008-10-01T04:30:10Z2008-10-01T04:30:10Z YouTube - Sarah Palin Can't Name a Newspaper She Reads Stupefying. (tags: politics) ...Toddhttp://www.bethepower.com/
<ul class="delicious"><li>
<div class="delicious-link"><a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xRkWebP2Q0Y&eurl=http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/9/30/192745/290/328/615984">YouTube - Sarah Palin Can't Name a Newspaper She Reads</a></div>
<div class="delicious-extended">Stupefying.</div>
<div class="delicious-tags">(tags: <a href="http://delicious.com/tplants/politics">politics</a>)</div>
</li></ul>
<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/bethepower/~4/407923753" height="1" width="1"/>http://bethepower.com/archives/2008/10/links_for_20080_61.htmllinks for 2008-09-28tag:bethepower.com,2008://1.10132008-09-29T04:30:10Z2008-09-29T04:30:10Z The Cab Ride I’ll Never Forget Powerful and thought-provoking. (tags: cool) ...Toddhttp://www.bethepower.com/
<ul class="delicious"><li>
<div class="delicious-link"><a href="http://www.zenmoments.org/the-cab-ride-ill-never-forget/">The Cab Ride I’ll Never Forget</a></div>
<div class="delicious-extended">Powerful and thought-provoking.</div>
<div class="delicious-tags">(tags: <a href="http://delicious.com/tplants/cool">cool</a>)</div>
</li></ul>
<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/bethepower/~4/405932001" height="1" width="1"/>http://bethepower.com/archives/2008/09/links_for_20080_60.htmllinks for 2008-09-26tag:bethepower.com,2008://1.10122008-09-27T04:30:12Z2008-09-27T04:30:12ZToddhttp://www.bethepower.com/
<ul class="delicious"><li>
<div class="delicious-link"><a href="http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/9/26/1001/19511/833/610378">Daily Kos: What Is This Money Even For?</a></div>
<div class="delicious-extended">"There's been nothing about the Washington reaction to this that has inspired confidence."</div>
<div class="delicious-tags">(tags: <a href="http://delicious.com/tplants/politics">politics</a>)</div>
</li></ul>
<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/bethepower/~4/404400909" height="1" width="1"/>http://bethepower.com/archives/2008/09/links_for_20080_59.htmllinks for 2008-09-25tag:bethepower.com,2008://1.10112008-09-26T04:30:09Z2008-09-26T04:30:09Z Twitter / John Gruber: To Republicans who tell me … Quote of the Day (tags: politics) ...Toddhttp://www.bethepower.com/
<ul class="delicious"><li>
<div class="delicious-link"><a href="http://twitter.com/gruber/statuses/934866658">Twitter / John Gruber: To Republicans who tell me …</a></div>
<div class="delicious-extended">Quote of the Day</div>
<div class="delicious-tags">(tags: <a href="http://delicious.com/tplants/politics">politics</a>)</div>
</li></ul>
<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/bethepower/~4/403441933" height="1" width="1"/>http://bethepower.com/archives/2008/09/links_for_20080_58.html